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Technical Analysis USD/CAD : 2014-12-15

Oil driver for bulls

Here we consider USD/CAD currency pair on the H4 chart. As oil prices keep falling, the Canadian dollar continues to slump. The price is moving within the limits of D1 and H4 uptrend channel: bullish trend is observed for all the timeframe scales. The trend is confirmed by ParabolicSAR values, which cross the line and fractal support level. Donchian Channel is also indicating the bullish bias. There is no contradiction on the part of the RSI-Bars oscillator. At the moment, it approached the local resistance level at 76.2609%. We expect that this level would be crossed when the price breaks the resistance level at 1.15294. This mark can be used for opening a pending buy order. Stop Loss is better to be placed at the Bill Williams support fractal 1.15106, which is strengthened by Parabolic historical values.

After position opening, Stop Loss is to be moved after the Parabolic values, near the next fractal low. Updating is enough to be done every day after a new Bill Williams fractal formation (5 candlesticks). Thus, we are changing the probable profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point.

Position Buy
Buy stop above 1.15294
Stop loss below 1.15106

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